The election is over - all except the final counting of votes!
With the Coalition government led by Tony Abbott gaining a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and forming government, we can look forward to a more stable government. We congratulate Mr Abbott on the Coalition's victory and his new role of Prime Minister.
However, in the Senate the balance of power is likely to be held by a number of small parties - more on that below...
The landslide election of the Coalition is a resounding call for the new government to take a conservative approach on the economy and management of our nation.
The overwhelming result also puts an end to the same-sex 'marriage' issue.
Kevin Rudd, Labor and homosexual groups campaigned extensively on this issue - and were defeated. We call on Labor to dump their policy of changing the Marriage Act to allow homosexuals to 'marry'.
The National Marriage Coalition and Dads4Kids have put out Media Releases on this issue.
- Media Release - National Marriage Coalition
- Media Release - Dads4Kids
We call on the Coalition to continue to strongly uphold marriage being between a man and a woman - and not to legislate for ANY legal registration of homosexual relationships, be it 'marriage', 'civil unions' or 'relationship registers'.
Let's just get on with governing the country!
In the remainder of this post I provide an overview of the RESULTS of the election, with key information from the Australian Electoral Commission.
Note: Votes still being counted, especially pre-poll and absentee votes, and the AEC data/website is continually being updated.
AEC Virtual Tally Room - and counting of votes
Counting of postal and pre-poll votes is still occurring for the next few days. Some seats in the House of Representatives that are close will be 're-counted' - and some results will undoubtedly be challenged. Senate votes will be counted over the next few weeks.
The Australian Electoral Commission has a 'Virtual Tally Room' with results updated regularly - click here
Results for the House of Representatives
In the House of Representatives, there was a swing to the Coalition of around 3.32%.
The Labor Party had its lowest primary vote in more than 100 years - just 34%.
It was only preferences from the Greens and other parties that saved some of their seats.
On a two-party preferred basis the Coalition had 53.12% to Labor's 46.88%.
Read first preference statistics - gives first preference votes for all parties.
Overview of results
- The AEC has the Coalition at 86 seats and Labor at 57 seats out of the total of 150.
- Four seats are listed as 'Not yet determined'. In these seats a 'leading candidate' has not been identified - these are Fairfax, Fisher, Indi, Mallee - Full info here.
In Fairfax and Fisher, candidates from Palmer United Party are in contention; in Indi, Liberal Sophie Mirabella is being challenged by a conservative Independent and in Mallee, where the Nationals John Forrest retired, there is a battle between the Liberals and the Nationals.
- The AEC says that the Greens Adam Bandt retains the seat of Melbourne. Bob Katter has retained his seat. Independent Andrew Wilkie has been returned.
- Six seats are listed as 'close': NSW- Barton, Reid, Eden-Monaro; VIC - McEwen; QLD - Capricornia, Petrie. Full info here.
- For the results for YOUR division - click here and select your Division.
Results for the Senate
Initially, for the Senate, the votes 'above the line' were counted. The first preferences of the pre-poll and postal votes, as well as the 'below the line' votes will be added to the AEC data as they are counted. Eventually the candidates with the lowest vote is eliminated, then ballot papers for that candidate re-distributed and so on - read AEC overview of the process.
For an overview of the 'First preference' votes cast for each Party in the Senate see this AEC webpage:
Click here for the National data - then select your State/Territory.
Estimates of the preference flows, where votes are re-distributed as candidates are eliminated, have been done - resulting in the media reports we have seen about the possible outcome of the Senate.
However, the final result of the Senate seats may not be known for a week or more as the votes are all counted.
So what will (could) the Senate look like?
One estimate of the numbers in the Senate is:
Coalition 32, Labor 25, Greens 9, Other 8.
Another report puts it at Coalition 33, Labor 25, Greens 10, Other 8 - total of 76 Senators.
As I've noted above, these figures are FAR FROM FINAL!
However, it seems that the 'balance of power' in the Senate will probably shift from the Greens in July next year when the new Senate begins. Whilst the Greens will still have around nine Senators, there could be up to eight cross-bench Senators and they could have a big influence on the Senate. Some, but not all, of them are from the more conservative side of politics - so it will be an interesting time!
* John Madigan (Vic, DLP) was not up for election this time and continues for another three years.
* Nick Xenophon retains his seat in South Australia, gaining more than a full 'quota'.
Current reports suggest that Family First will gain a seat in SA and Palmer United Party could gain two seats - one in Queensland and one in Tasmania.
Because of complicated preference deals, it is currently being reported that the Australian Sports Party in WA will win a seat - with just 0.22% of the vote (as currently counted), and the Australian Motoring Enthusiasts Party could win a seat in Victoria with 0.52%.
The Liberal Democrats in NSW could also win a seat - partly, it is thought, due to having No 1 on the ballot paper and people confusing them with the Liberal Party.
Read a media report about the possible outcome of the Senate.
The following media report provides an insight into each of these 'potential' Senators:
Shock WA Senate win looms for Australian Sports Party's Wayne Dropulich, News.com, 8/9/2013.
Of course, there is a lot of counting and allocating of preferences still to occur.
The current predictions will undoubtedly change in the weeks ahead.
We will only know when the RESULTS are DECLARED.